Australia Power Market 2025 | Size, Share and Forecast by 2033

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Market OverviewAustralia Power Market-min.png

The Australia power market size reached 277.10 TWh in 2024 and is expected to reach 374.38 TWh by 2033. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.10% during the forecast period 2025–2033. The growth is driven by factors such as increasing renewable energy adoption, rising electricity demand, government incentives, grid modernization, battery storage expansion, and investments in emerging energy technologies like hydrogen. These developments are reshaping the energy landscape in Australia towards cleaner and more sustainable sources.

How AI is Reshaping the Future of Australia Power Market:
  • AI enables advanced grid management and real-time energy monitoring, improving integration of renewable energy with grid stability.
  • Virtual power plants (VPPs) use AI algorithms to aggregate distributed battery storage, enhancing energy balancing and market participation.
  • AI-driven predictive maintenance helps reduce downtime and operational costs in energy infrastructure.
  • Government-backed smart meter rollouts incorporate AI for optimized demand response and improved customer energy usage awareness.
  • AI supports optimization of battery storage systems, vital for managing intermittent solar and wind power.
  • Emerging energy-as-a-service business models leverage AI for customized solar, storage, and software solutions enhancing consumer control.
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Market Growth Factors

Australia’s push toward renewable energy is a key market growth driver. Renewable sources like solar, wind, and hydroelectricity contributed about 35% of the nation’s electricity output in 2023, equating to approximately 95,963 GWh. The Australian Renewable Energy Agency’s (ARENA) multi-billion dollar investments have rapidly accelerated projects in solar power plants, energy storage, and green hydrogen production. Such initiatives, coupled with significant grid asset investments identified by the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), ensure reliable integration of renewables into the electricity system.

Grid modernization and infrastructure investment are transforming Australia’s aging electricity network to support decentralized and renewable-heavy power generation. Key projects such as the EnergyConnect interconnector from New South Wales to South Australia improve grid resilience and facilitate renewable power flow. These upgrades are especially crucial for remote regions like Western Australia’s Pilbara, where mining operations increasingly rely on renewable power sources to reduce costs and emissions. Enhanced transmission, digital monitoring, and real-time energy management systems continue to meet the rising sophistication in energy demand.

Decentralization and intensifying electrification are reshaping consumer roles in Australia’s power market. The country leads globally in per-capita rooftop solar penetration, especially across Queensland and Western Australia suburbs, supported by state incentives and feed-in tariffs. This reduces dependence on centralized grids and fuels investments in local energy systems. Electrification of transport and heating sectors further drives electricity demand, while rising adoption of energy-efficient appliances and home automation technologies mark a significant behavioral and technological transformation fostering consumer-driven market expansion.

Market Segmentation

Generation Source Insights:

  • Power Generation Source
    • Coal
    • Natural Gas
    • Oil
    • Renewables
    • Others
  • Power Transmission and Distribution
Regional Insights:
  • Australia Capital Territory & New South Wales
  • Victoria & Tasmania
  • Queensland
  • Northern Territory & Southern Australia
  • Western Australia
Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape of the industry has also been examined along with the profiles of the key players.

Recent Development & News
  • January 2025: The Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) finalized a decision enabling virtual power plants (VPPs), commercial and industrial demand response, and consolidated batteries to compete directly with traditional power stations, effective May 2027, enhancing market innovation and flexibility.
  • December 2024: The Energy Market Commission approved an accelerated smart meter rollout to be completed by 2030, aimed at cost savings and enabling a data-enabled energy system, with safeguards such as prohibiting upfront costs before installation and requiring explicit customer consent for tariff changes.
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